the PK craftsman did not have the skills, then this approximately 3% chance of success would be a 'fluke'. It is not impossible, but it is a very low probability.
By me thinking "that's a very low probability, so hypothesis H0 would be wrong", hypothesis H1 would be correct and the PK craftsman's skill would be recognised.
But here is where the problem arises. I have taken the liberty of deciding that hypothesis H0 is wrong, but there is a 3.125% probability that it is correct.
