スレ34 http://rio2016.2ch.net/test/read.cgi/math/1496568298/649 (抜粋) 下記英 mathoverflowは参考になる。要するに、時枝記事類似”Riddle”で、Alexander Pruss氏は、2013年に ”But we have no reason to think the event of guessing correctly ・・..で、非可測経由だとまずいと言っている。これ如何に？ http://mathoverflow.net/questions/151286/probabilities-in-a-riddle-involving-axiom-of-choice Probabilities in a riddle involving axiom of choice - MathOverflow: edited Dec 9 '13 Denis (抜粋) answered Dec 11 '13 at 21:07 Alexander Pruss The probabilistic reasoning depends on a conglomerability assumption, namely that given a fixed sequence u→, the probability of guessing correctly is (n-1)/n, then for a randomly selected sequence, the probability of guessing correctly is (n-1)/n. But we have no reason to think the event of guessing correctly is measurable with respect to the probability measure induced by the random choice of sequence and index i, and we have no reason to think that the conglomerability assumption is appropriate. (引用終り) []
