【コロナ謎】なぜ、イタリアの死亡率はこんなに高いのか？死者10,000人突破　CNN

【コロナ謎】なぜ、イタリアの死亡率はこんなに高いのか？死者10,000人突破　CNN at NEWSPLUS

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20/03/30 05:34:54.08 bwiNpYV29.net
【コロナ謎】なぜ、イタリアの死亡率はこんなに高いのか？死者10,000人突破　CNN
イタリアが鎖国の第6週に入ると、多くが尋ねています：死亡率が他の国よりもはるかに高いように見えるはなぜですか？
専門家は、ウイルスの影響を受けやすい国の大規模な高齢者の集団、および感染についての全体像を与えていないテスト方法のような要因の組み合わせが原因であると言います。
歪んだ数字
イタリアの確認された症例数は「感染した集団全体ではない」とミラノのサッコ病院の感染症部門の責任者であるマッシモガリ博士は述べた。本当の姿は「はるかに」膨大だった。
最も深刻な症例のみが検査されており、人口全体ではありません。これにより、死亡率がゆがめられます。
ガリ氏によると、症例の大部分を占める北部のロンバルディア州では、毎日約5,000本の綿棒が採取されているという。彼はこれは「必要な数にはるかに低く、何千人もの人々が自宅で診断を待っている」と付け加えた。
URLﾘﾝｸ(www.cnn.com)
Italy's coronavirus death toll passes 10,000. Many are asking why the fatality rate is so high
By Valentina Di Donato, Sheena McKenzie and Livia Borghese, CNN
Updated 1646 GMT (0046 HKT) March 29, 2020
前略
With 92,472 confirmed cases, Italy appears to have the highest death rate on the planet. Compare it to China, the epicenter of the pandemic, which has a roughly similar number of confirmed cases at 81,997, but under a third as many deaths, at 3,299, according to Johns Hopkins University and Medicine.
Indeed Italy now has the second-highest number of confirmed cases in the world after the United States, which stands at 105,470. But the US has a fraction of the deaths, at just over 1,700.
As Italy enters its sixth week of restrictions, many are asking: why does its death rate seem so much higher than other countries?
Experts say it's down to a combination of factors, like the country's large elderly population which is more susceptible to the virus, and the method of testing that's not giving the full picture about infections.
Distorted numbers
Italy's number of confirmed cases is "not representative of the entire infected population," said Dr. Massimo Galli, head of the infectious disease unit at Sacco Hospital in Milan. The real figure was "much much more."
Only the most severe cases are being tested, added Galli, and not the entire population -- which in turn, skews the death rate.
In the northern Lombardy region, which has the majority of cases, about 5,000 swabs are being carried out daily, said Galli. He added this was "much lower than needed, with "thousands of people waiting for diagnosis at their home."
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